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Continue to SiteMarkets are leaning toward a risk-on tone as the US Dollar continues to weaken amid optimism surrounding US–Iran diplomacy, allowing precious metals like Silver to extend gains while risk-sensitive currencies remain supported despite mixed economic data from Australia and China. Broadly, FX markets are showing uneven momentum, with Dollar pairs under pressure and Asian-linked currencies holding ground, as traders balance improving geopolitical sentiment with upcoming macroeconomic data.
Silver is holding firmly above the $30.00 level, maintaining bullish momentum as it approaches a one-month high. The metal is benefiting from a weaker US Dollar and improving risk sentiment across global markets.
• Geopolitical Risks: Optimism around US–Iran talks is reducing extreme risk aversion while still supporting metals demand.
• US Economic Data: Softer expectations are weighing on the Dollar, boosting Silver.
• FOMC Outcome: Uncertainty around Fed policy is supporting non-yielding assets.
• Trade Policy: Stable global trade outlook is supporting industrial demand for Silver.
• Monetary Policy: Expectations of a less aggressive Fed are driving upside.
• Trend: Bullish.
• Resistance: $31.50
• Support: $29.80
• Forecast: Further upside likely toward recent highs if momentum continues.
• Market Sentiment: Bullish.
• Catalysts: US Dollar direction and Fed expectations.
AUD/USD is holding gains despite mixed economic data from Australia and China, reflecting resilience in risk sentiment. The pair remains supported as the US Dollar weakens.
• Geopolitical Risks: Improved sentiment supports risk currencies like AUD.
• US Economic Data: Dollar weakness is providing upward support.
• FOMC Outcome: Policy uncertainty limits USD strength.
• Trade Policy: China-linked demand continues to influence AUD performance.
• Monetary Policy: RBA outlook remains relatively steady.
• Trend: Mildly bullish.
• Resistance: 0.7050
• Support: 0.6950
• Forecast: Gradual upside expected if support holds.
• Market Sentiment: Bullish.
• Catalysts: Chinese data and USD direction.
USD/CHF has dropped toward 0.7800 as the US Dollar extends its decline amid improving geopolitical sentiment. The Swiss Franc is gaining as the Dollar loses its safe-haven appeal.
• Geopolitical Risks: Reduced tensions weaken USD safe-haven demand.
• US Economic Data: Softer outlook pressures the Dollar.
• FOMC Outcome: Uncertainty around policy weighs on USD.
• Trade Policy: Stable global conditions support CHF.
• Monetary Policy: Fed uncertainty contrasts with stable Swiss policy.
• Trend: Bearish.
• Resistance: 0.7900
• Support: 0.7750
• Forecast: Continued downside likely if Dollar weakness persists.
• Market Sentiment: Bearish.
• Catalysts: Fed outlook and geopolitical developments.
AUD/JPY is trading below 114.00 following Australia’s labor data, reflecting a pause in bullish momentum. The pair remains sensitive to both risk sentiment and regional economic data.
• Geopolitical Risks: Improved sentiment supports AUD but limits strong Yen demand.
• US Economic Data: Indirectly influencing broader FX flows.
• FOMC Outcome: Stable expectations support carry trades.
• Trade Policy: China’s economic outlook impacts AUD demand.
• Monetary Policy: Divergence between RBA and BoJ supports elevated levels.
• Trend: Sideways.
• Resistance: 114.50
• Support: 112.80
• Forecast: Consolidation likely before next directional move.
• Market Sentiment: Neutral.
• Catalysts: China GDP and risk sentiment.
USD/CNY is stabilizing around 6.86 following the latest PBOC reference rate fix, reflecting controlled currency movements. The pair continues to trade within a narrow range amid policy guidance.
• Geopolitical Risks: Stable global sentiment limits volatility in CNY.
• US Economic Data: Dollar weakness influences short-term movement.
• FOMC Outcome: Policy uncertainty impacts USD positioning.
• Trade Policy: China’s economic outlook remains a key driver.
• Monetary Policy: PBOC intervention continues to anchor the Yuan.
• Trend: Sideways.
• Resistance: 6.8800
• Support: 6.8300
• Forecast: Range-bound movement expected.
• Market Sentiment: Neutral.
• Catalysts: PBOC policy and China economic data.
Markets are being driven by a weaker US Dollar and improving geopolitical sentiment, allowing precious metals like Silver to lead gains while risk-sensitive currencies hold firm despite mixed economic signals, leaving traders focused on whether continued Dollar weakness and policy uncertainty will sustain the current momentum or trigger a shift as new macroeconomic data emerges.
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Moneta Markets is a trading name of Moneta Markets (Pty) Ltd, an authorised Financial Service Provider (“FSP”) registered and regulated by the Financial Sector Conduct Authority (“FSCA”) of South Africa under license number 47490 and located at 18 Cavendish Road, Claremont, Cape Town, Western Cape, 7708 South Africa. Company Registration Number: 2016 / 063801 / 07. Contact Phone Number: +27 (10) 1429139. Operational Office: 18 Cavendish Road, Claremont, Cape Town, Western Cape, 7708 South Africa.
Moneta Markets is a trading name of Moneta Markets Ltd, registered under Saint Lucia Registry of International Business Companies with registration number 2023-00068.
Moneta Markets Trading Limited is regulated by the Financial Services Commission (FSC) of Mauritius, with Company No. 211285 GBC and License No. GB24203391. Its registered office is located at Suite 201, 2nd Floor, The Catalyst, 40 Silicon Avenue, Ebene Cybercity, Mauritius.
Mmonexia Ltd registered in the Republic of Cyprus with registration number HE436544 and registered address at Archbishop Makarios III, 160, Floor 1, 3026, Limassol, Cyprus.
Moneta Markets is a trading name of Moneta Markets (Pty) Ltd, an authorised Financial Service Provider (“FSP”) registered and regulated by the Financial Sector Conduct Authority (“FSCA”) of South Africa under license number 47490 and located at 18 Cavendish Road, Claremont, Cape Town, Western Cape, 7708 South Africa. Company Registration Number: 2016 / 063801 / 07. Contact Phone Number: +27 (10) 1429139. Operational Office: 18 Cavendish Road, Claremont, Cape Town, Western Cape, 7708 South Africa.
Moneta Markets is a trading name of Moneta Markets Ltd, registered under Saint Lucia Registry of International Business Companies with registration number 2023-00068.
Moneta Markets Trading Limited is regulated by the Financial Services Commission (FSC) of Mauritius, with Company No. 211285 GBC and License No. GB24203391. Its registered office is located at Suite 201, 2nd Floor, The Catalyst, 40 Silicon Avenue, Ebene Cybercity, Mauritius.
Mmonexia Ltd registered in the Republic of Cyprus with registration number HE436544 and registered address at Archbishop Makarios III, 160, Floor 1, 3026, Limassol, Cyprus.